Trajectory (Page 22)

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When the Taps Run Dry: The Cascading Consequences of Water Infrastructure Failure in Australia

When the Taps Run Dry: The Cascading Consequences of Water Infrastructure Failure in Australia

Australia's water and sewerage systems serve millions through infrastructure so reliable it has become invisible. That invisibility masks profound vulnerability—to cyber attack, climate stress, and institutional neglect. When disruption comes, its consequences will cascade far beyond burst pipes.

When the Signal Dies: Australia's Telecommunications Fragility and the Cascading Consequences of Infrastructure Failure

When the Signal Dies: Australia's Telecommunications Fragility and the Cascading Consequences of Infrastructure Failure

The 2023 Optus outage severed ten million Australians from banking, healthcare, and emergency services for twelve hours. The 2025 failure allegedly killed two people. These were accidents. The next major disruption might not be—and Australia remains structurally unprepared for either.

When the Grid Goes Dark: The Cascading Consequences of Australia's Electricity Vulnerability

Energy & Climate

When the Grid Goes Dark: The Cascading Consequences of Australia's Electricity Vulnerability

Australia's electricity grid faces compounding threats from cyber attacks, extreme weather, and accelerating coal closures. The consequences of major disruption cascade through three orders of magnitude—from immediate infrastructure failure to civilisational transformation. Current planning...

The Window That Won't Close: Russia's Shadow Fleet and NATO's Undersea Vulnerability

The Window That Won't Close: Russia's Shadow Fleet and NATO's Undersea Vulnerability

Russia's shadow fleet has spent years mapping NATO's undersea cables and pipelines in the Baltic and North Sea. The intelligence is collected. The targets are known. In a crisis, the vulnerability window—measured in weeks of degraded communications and months of repairs—favors the attacker. NATO...

The Wires Beneath the Waves: Tech Giants and Pacific Sovereignty

The Wires Beneath the Waves: Tech Giants and Pacific Sovereignty

Google and its peers are laying cables to connect the Pacific's most isolated nations. The infrastructure brings genuine benefits—and dependencies that look increasingly like digital feudalism. For island governments that cannot maintain what they do not understand, the gift may cost more than...

The Sahel's Hollow Alliance: Why Russian Backing Cannot Save Africa's Juntas

The Sahel's Hollow Alliance: Why Russian Backing Cannot Save Africa's Juntas

Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger expelled Western forces and embraced Moscow's Africa Corps. Eighteen months later, jihadist violence has surged 190% since 2021. The juntas may survive. Their states may not.

The Quantum Countdown: How a Computing Revolution Will Reshape Security, Science, and Power

The Quantum Countdown: How a Computing Revolution Will Reshape Security, Science, and Power

Quantum computers capable of breaking today's encryption may arrive within a decade. The race to upgrade global cryptographic infrastructure has begun—but most organizations have not started running. The consequences of delay compound daily.

The Invisible Rewiring: What AI Agents Actually Change

The Invisible Rewiring: What AI Agents Actually Change

As 79% of enterprises adopt AI agents, the consequential shifts are not in productivity metrics but in organizational connective tissue—informal networks, tacit knowledge, and accountability structures that never appeared on workflow diagrams.

Daily Brief: 22 December 2025

Daily Brief: 22 December 2025

China's missiles turn US Pacific bases into sitting ducks. Sudan's war economy thrives in plain sight while generating the world's largest refugee crisis.

The Decibel Countdown: China's Submarine Weakness and the Taiwan Window

The Decibel Countdown: China's Submarine Weakness and the Taiwan Window

Chinese submarines remain dangerously loud—detectable by sensors designed to exploit their acoustic signatures. As allied underwater surveillance networks mature faster than Chinese quieting technology improves, Beijing faces a narrowing window where undersea weakness constrains Taiwan options....

The Deterrent That Became a Target

The Deterrent That Became a Target

China's missile arsenal can now threaten every American base in the Western Pacific. The forces meant to prevent war may instead invite the opening salvo of one. Washington faces choices it has spent decades avoiding.

What Breaks First as the Sahel's Security Collapse Spreads to Coastal West Africa?

What Breaks First as the Sahel's Security Collapse Spreads to Coastal West Africa?

The crisis spreading from Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger will not arrive at the coast as an invasion. It will come as school absences, shifting market inventories, and the quiet death of institutional legitimacy. Understanding the sequence reveals which interventions might still work—and which...