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Trajectory Daily Brief: 14 January 2026

Trajectory Daily Brief: 14 January 2026

US defense spending requires perpetual war while China wins Southeast Asia with construction cranes. Iran's regime faces nationwide collapse as Nigeria authorizes military operations it cannot execute.
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Michael Soren
North Korea's hypersonic missiles force America into a spending trap it cannot win
Synthesis

North Korea's hypersonic missiles force America into a spending trap it cannot win

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Why American missiles would save Iran's dying regime
Great Powers

Why American missiles would save Iran's dying regime

The 2026 protests represent the Islamic Republic's deepest legitimacy crisis since 1979. Protesters have spread to all 31 provinces, targeting the Supreme Leader himself. American military intervention would accomplish what regime propaganda has failed to achieve: reunifying a fractured society...
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Michael Soren
China's military AI integration
Synthesis

China's military AI integration

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North Korea's hypersonic missiles: More theatre than threat
Synthesis

North Korea's hypersonic missiles: More theatre than threat

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Can India's Southeast Asia partnerships actually constrain China?
Synthesis

Can India's Southeast Asia partnerships actually constrain China?

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Why US military strikes during Iran's 2026 protests would rescue the regime, not destroy it
Synthesis

Why US military strikes during Iran's 2026 protests would rescue the regime, not destroy it

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The Plasma Sheath Problem: North Korea's Hypersonic Gambit
Asia-Pacific

The Plasma Sheath Problem: North Korea's Hypersonic Gambit

North Korea's hypersonic missiles may not defeat American defences today. But they exploit structural vulnerabilities that software patches cannot fix—and the adaptation cycle favours Pyongyang.
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Michael Soren
India's Southeast Asia Defence Gambit: Useful Partner, Limited Constraint
Asia-Pacific

India's Southeast Asia Defence Gambit: Useful Partner, Limited Constraint

New Delhi's Act East Policy has delivered joint exercises, BrahMos sales, and maritime cooperation across Southeast Asia. But ASEAN's hedging strategies ensure these partnerships diversify options rather than constrain Beijing—a feature, not a bug, of regional security architecture.
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Michael Soren
The Fire Next Time: Iran's 2026 Uprising and the Limits of Repression
Governance

The Fire Next Time: Iran's 2026 Uprising and the Limits of Repression

The protests that erupted in December 2025 have spread to all 31 Iranian provinces, transforming from economic grievance into existential challenge. The Islamic Republic's response reveals a system that has exhausted its capacity for adaptation—and a population that has stopped believing in reform.
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Michael Soren
Trajectory Daily Brief: 13 January 2026

Trajectory Daily Brief: 13 January 2026

India hedges with ASEAN while Iran burns nationwide. Sudan's 150,000 deaths get 6% funding as Philippines' $30B digital economy hangs on undefendable cables.
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Michael Soren
Iran's 2026 protests and the regime's path to collapse
Synthesis

Iran's 2026 protests and the regime's path to collapse

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